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Evan Atlas's avatar

Nice! Sometimes when people at the brewery are indecisive, I kindly suggest that I could mix all of the beers together in one big glass for them. No one has taken me up on it yet.

It sounds like the "wisdom of crowds" did not lead you to an ideal cocktail recipe this time, but collective intelligence is still fascinating. Robin Hanson suggests that prediction markets are underutilized in democracies (https://philpapers.org/rec/HANSWV) and the book Superforecasting (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superforecasting:_The_Art_and_Science_of_Prediction) deals with how the best predictions are formed.

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